Expected value calculates average future investment returns based on outcome probabilities. In finance, expected value guides portfolio construction and when to sell assets with lower future value.

We propose a method for selling options that defies many myths around options selling. We analyzed options prices using statistical modelling and calculus to improve the "expected value" of trading ...

The Monte Carlo simulation estimates the probability of different outcomes in a process that cannot easily be predicted because of the potential for random variables.

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Whether you’re a novice bettor or a seasoned veteran, you’ve almost certainly heard of positive expected value betting. After all, there are betting influencers and podcast hosts who talk about the ...

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