Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

WE do not make a general statement to the effect that subjective probabilities in all situations diminish with increase in age, but merely refer to the subjective probability of winning the uncertain ...

AI researchers use the expression “P(doom”) to mean the probability that the rise of artificial intelligence will have a disastrous effect on humanity, such as extinction or enslavement. Expert ...