Traders in bonds and credit default swaps are bombarded with information on the default probabilities implied by credit spreads using a simple ratio. This ratio predicts that the credit spread will be ...

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are a formal foundation for making probabilistic models of linear sequence 'labeling' problems 1,2. They provide a conceptual toolkit for building complex models just by ...

Analysts have raised their expectations of a recession in America's near future. A prediction model from the global financial ...

The U.S. economy falling into recession within the next 12 months is a virtual certainty, according to the latest Bloomberg Economics forecast model released on Monday. The dire projection surfaced ...

Seeking Alpha analysts Damir Tokic and Ironman at Political Calculations weigh in with their thoughts.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since ...

The NBA playoffs are almost here, with the play-in tournament tipping off later tonight. But while the regular season was careening toward a dramatic finish, we were hard at work creating a live ...